| Title: |
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Interview with former President Amine
Gemayel (A.G) on his role in a channel between Iraq and the US prior to a U.S.
led invasion of Iraq, his view of the war and its consequences, and on the
possibility of renewed negotiations between Iraqi and American leadership.
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| By: Rana
Ballout |
| What led you to open a channel between
the Iraqi and American leadership in the critical time before the invasion of
Iraq? |
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My wife and I were invited to a dinner in
June 2002 at the home of my old friend secretary of defense Donald Rumsfeld.
Also there was deputy- secretary of defense Paul Wolfowitz. Even though it was
a family dinner, we talked about several issues. I have known Don for a long
time now, since the 1980s when he was former U.S. President Ronald Reagan's
special envoy to the Middle East. I actually knew him before he assumed that
particular post. And we maintained a close friendship ever since. I also have
permanent contacts with the Iraqi leadership under President Saddam Hussein. On
coming back from my trip to the U.S [also in June], I was approached by some
Iraqi friends to talk about my visit to Washington and my meetings with several
people there. And since then I warned them about America's policy toward the
Middle East and mainly the Iraqi issue. I had several meetings with my Iraqi
contacts here and I encouraged them to have a genuine rethinking of the Iraqi
policy toward the whole issue concerning the U.N Resolution 687, especially
regarding disarmament. At the end of January and early February of this year,
the contacts with the Iraqis became more intense and I felt that they were
feeling a threat from the U.S., since the latter's attitude was increasingly
tougher. So, I was invited to visit Baghdad and meet with Iraqi president
Saddam Hussein in order to discuss the whole situation and the Iraqi-U.S. and
Iraqi-European relations. I had several meetings with many Iraqi officials in
Iraq and we discussed at long length the whole problem that we are all
currently facing. The whole Middle East is concerned about what is happening in
Iraq. |
| What was your
impression of your meeting with President Saddam Hussein? |
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I found President Saddam
Hussein to be very determined, very calm and building an efficient system to
resist the U.S.-led military coalition against Iraq. And in fact he was
counting on several elements to build his defensive strategy. One is the Iraqi
Army. And it must be remembered that the Iraqi Army is the only one in the Arab
world to have real experience of war. They had the Iran-Iraq War for eight
years [1980-1988] and the Kuwaiti War [1990-1991], and they contributed to the
Arab effort in the two Arab-Israeli wars in 1967 and 1973. So the Army has much
experience and is very well trained. The second element is the Republican Guard
which is a presidential unit that is very well equipped and trained. And third
is the paramilitary branch of the Baath Party. They are also highly motivated
and devoted to the Baath ideology and they are determined to defend the regime.
Fourth, there are the tribes. And here Saddam Hussein did something very
interesting. In the beginning, the Baath Party was trying to impose its
authority and will on the tribes and to assimilate tribes into the Baath Party.
Saddam Hussein finally understood that this was a bad policy because it is a
way to create problems with the tribes and also to create a kind of hostility,
so he shifted his policy towards a real flirt with the different tribes. He
gave them some power and a kind of autonomy in their domestic affairs. Since
then, most of the tribes became more sympathetic to the regime because they
were given privileges they did not previously enjoy. That is why Saddam Hussein
can count on these tribes. Their role should not be underestimated. They are
spread all over Iraq and in the remote areas. And this may explain some of the
resistance we see against the coalition forces. But I was expecting this kind
of resistance. And for the time being the Iraqis are still resisting even in
the Shia dominated areas of the south. Also there was a deep effort to fill the
gap between the Sunni and the Shia communities in Iraq. The Shiites were given
a lot of villages. The same was done with the Kurds. I know that even now there
are some contacts open between the Iraqi leadership and people close to
[Massoud] Barzani [leader of the Kurdish Democratic Party] despite the alliance
built between the Americans and Barzani. The Iraq regime was prepared for a
clash with the U.S. and that is why President Hussein was calm when I met with
him in Baghdad in February. |
| Did President
Saddam Hussein as you to relay a message to the Bush Administration? |
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As I explained and I need to be clear about
this. I do not hold any initiative from the Iraqis to the West and/or vise
versa. I was not up to me to deliver messages. But it is because of my close
ties with some influential people in Washington and my friendship with Iraq,
the endeavor was an attempt after several meetings in Iraq, the U.S. , Europe
and the Vatican, to try and find a possible common ground and ideas for a
proposal. But it was really personal, I don't have the pretension to be a
go-between the Americans and Saddam Hussein. In fact, I felt that it was very
important for people with contacts with both parties to try to find out in
there was an exit out of the possibility of war
maybe a miraculous way out
would introduce itself. At the time, I was also encouraged by the events that
were taking place in the United Nations Security Council, the worldwide
demonstrations, the impasse to allow U.S. troops to be stationed in Turkey and
also the anti-war positions of the Anglican Church in the UK and the Vatican. I
was also encouraged at that time that the U.S. and Iraq seemed open to talk. I
was invited by President Hussein and received in Washington as well as in the
Vatican and Paris. |
| Which party
proved to present the most obstacles towards a compromise? |
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Really, I felt that both parties were determined to go war.
The U.S., they were really reluctant to start negotiations towards a
compromise. And Saddam was very determined to resist and to fight. He was
confident that he could do so. I can say that my impression of the mood in Iraq
and the U.S. was not favorable for a compromise and a peaceful
initiative. |
| Did you find
that there was any kind of common ground? |
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The main problem presented
itself as the following. Saddam Hussein was very cooperative and open to
discuss United Nations Resolution 1441 and he considered that the
implementation of the resolution is the main international legal issue. And he
was willing to fully cooperate on the resolution. By contrast, the Bush
administration by and large considered that its [the U.S.] previous experiences
with Saddam Hussein were not encouraging; they had no confidence in that the he
would disarm. It is really a problem of trust; the Bush Administration does not
trust the Iraqi leadership. And I felt that the U.S. mixed resolution 1441 with
regime change in Iraq. They believed that the only way to implement 1441 was to
get rid of the regime in Baghdad. The main point is that Saddam Hussein was
saying that he was willing to implement 1441 and the Bush administration could
not trust that he would fully do it. Also, my feeling was that the U.S. wanted
to get rid of the whole Iraqi military strategy. A perception in the U.S., I
felt, was that the Iraqi army was too big and too numerous in number for such a
small country and such a delicate region. It was felt that Iraq did not need
such a big army and it needed to be reduced. The logic was that such a big army
would remain to be a threat to the region. |
| What would you say to the
claims that since the neo-conservatives are making policy in the Middle East
and that they have close ties to Israel that the object of this war is to
protect Israel? Was this ever brought up during your meetings in
Washington? |
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I have heard this in
Washington
[Virginia Congressman Jim] Moran. And for sure that Israel will
be the first beneficiary of this war. |
| In your
conversations with Donald Rumsfeld and/or Paul Wolfowitz
did it ever come
up that in order to safeguard peace in the area that Iraq's army needed to be
reduced so as to pose less of a threat to Israel? |
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Please. I want to make it very clear that I
am not willing to give any indication of the persons that I met in Washington
and it is very well know that I met Mr. Rumsfeld in June and you don't need to
mix all the meetings together. And I don't at all want to mention whom I met
recently during last trip to Washington in February. What I told you previously
in the interview is the result of meetings that I had with some influential
people. I don't want to give any names because I don't want to embarrass them.
You know it is very embarrassing for these people to conduct any kind of
negotiations while they are engaged in military operations. |
| In your
opinion, what is this war about? |
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In my opinion it is a war about ideas more
than it is about land or regime change. For the U.S. and others too, they
believe that the terror that they have faced in the last few years has its
roots in the revolutionary mentality based on Marxism and fundamentalism. These
two are considered to be the main platforms for terrorism. They believe that
Marxism gave birth to terrorists like Carlos and Abu Nidal as well as other
organizations. Fundamentalism also gave birth to Islamic fundamentalist groups
as well as the likes of Osama Bin Laden and others. They believe that they need
to change the culture of the region in order to get rid of these two
phenomenons. Of course Marxism is less of a threat now since the collapse of
communism. But Islamic fundamentalism is still growing. They also believe that
they can find a strong common ground between the culture of the East and the
West
between Islamic and Christian civilizations. But in order to bridge
this gap, they believe they need to get rid of some schools of thought in the
area and that would be fundamentalism and extremism. And that is why it is
about ideas and not oil as is commonly thought. |
| Wouldn't this
be a bit of a cold war warrior mentality? |
| I can't really say. |
| Did
Washington consider that an invasion of Iraq and a war of ideas would inflame
the region more and sideline the moderates? |
| These theoreticians believe that this war is a
way to get rid of fundamentalism along the lines of Bin Laden. |
| Is there any
chance of a ceasefire being negotiated between Baghdad and Washington? Is there
a common ground? |
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I don't think so. There will be no ceasefire
before the real war in Iraq beginnings that basically means the siege of
Baghdad. And it could also depend on the outcome of the U.S. military campaign
that currently being waged. |
| Are there any
diplomatic initiatives that you know of that could be taken up? |
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No, not for the time being. The ones that I
know of are the Putin-Primakov initiative and the Vatican initiative presented
to President Bush when Monsignor (Pope's envoy) went to Washington. As far as I
know, they have been put on hold. The Putin-Primakov one is the most efficient
one, primarily because of the warm relations between President Bush and
President Putin as well as the good relationships between Moscow and Baghdad.
These could work and I am in touch with both the Russian authorities here and
the Vatican. |
| What are the
terms of these initiatives? |
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You know that the terms are continuously
changing with the events on the ground, and the balance or power and the
balance of terror and the willingness of each party to discuss the way out.
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| In your
opinion, would the U.S. negotiate with an Iraq still headed by Saddam Hussein?
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I felt that it is out of question for the
U.S. to negotiate with the regime in Baghdad as a whole
not just Saddam
Hussein. I am in touch with some officials who are concerned with the state of
affairs in Iraq and I don't foresee that there are any credible talks for the
time being. |
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| Did you ever think there was a
possibility at any time during your trips that there was a way to prevent a
war? |
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I was trying very hard to try to get results
that would lead to a prevention of war even though I knew it was very
difficult. Don't forget that in February, U.S. intentions towards Iraq were
very clear and that their plans were very advanced. And the U.S was at that
time deeply involved in war preparations. Their dice had already been rolled
and their cards had been shown. |
| What will the
war in Iraq do to the region? |
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I am sure that it will bring fundamental
change to the area and there will be a kind of Pax-Americana for a while that
will shake several regimes in the area. At least in the beginning, most regimes
will find it in their interests to deal with the U.S. You can be against and
angry at the U.S. But once the war will be finished, Pax Americana will be
evident and there will have to be acceptance and cooperation with this, at
least for a while. America's powerful military machinery and powerful economic
tools will be physically present in the area. This is also why the Europeans
with have to put aside their anger and build bridges to the U.S. Neither
Germany nor France will be able to afford remaining hostile to the U.S. I know
that Russia and China are actually in permanent contacts with the U.S and have
several open communications channels. This fait accompli will be accepted. And
the U.S. will build on its relations to spread new ideas and a new mentality in
the area as well as reconciling with the people of the region. There will be a
strong and important initiative dealing with the Palestinian-Israeli
predicament. They also want to build bridges with Islam. And the resolution of
the Palestinian Israeli issue could be an opening for stronger relations
between the U.S. and Islamic countries. |
| In your
opinion, do the Americans really understand this region? |
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Yes, I believe that they really do. The plan
is very ambitious because it is not easy to face such a completely different
mentality and a long heritage of sectarianism and fundamentalism. But, I did
feel that when I was in the U.S. that the officials were aware that their
objectives were ambitious
but they are ambitious determined people and
they believe that they can achieve this historic achievement in order to make
way for a new era in the region. If you want to make a comparison, it is the
following: that the first President Bush launched a new world order that had
mainly economic connotations. The current president Bush has a view of the new
world order with ideological connotations. |